29/03/2025
·
21:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
4%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
17%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
46%
Draw
36%
26%
Away Win
37%
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
51%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Minaa Basra v Naft — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Minaa Basra
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Naft
EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% /
+4%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-25% /
-25%
0.90/1.10
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.40/1.20
+3%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-68%
/
-19%
47%
Ball Possession
53%
7
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
193 · 59%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
157 · 54%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Minaa Basra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Naft
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Al Minaa Basra vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Minaa Basra got the better of Naft 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was the draw at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
Al Minaa Basra 2-0 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Minaa Basra vs Naft?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Minaa Basra 28%, draw 46%, Naft 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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29 Mar 2025