FC Gifu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.41/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.18
+5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
429 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.9 Crosses 19.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
334 Passes 281
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 FC Gifu FC Gifu 0-1 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
31.03.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
24.09.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
12.03.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
15.10.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
15.11.2014 FC Gifu FC Gifu 3-1 HT 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
1-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
429 Passes 172
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu and Matsumoto Yamaga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 67% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 33%, shots finished 23-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Gifu and 1.00 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

FC Gifu 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 35%, draw 26%, Matsumoto Yamaga 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✓ Under 2.5
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