Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 FC Gifu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.02/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.99
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Gifu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
12.03.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
15.10.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
15.11.2014 FC Gifu FC Gifu 3-1 HT 2-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP2
26.04.2014 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1-2
AWAY FC Gifu
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gifu nicked a narrow win over Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day FC Gifu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 54% of the ball to FC Gifu's 46%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 1.00 for FC Gifu.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 FC Gifu in the Japan - J3 League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs FC Gifu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 38%, draw 30%, FC Gifu 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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