Grulla Morioka 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grulla Morioka EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
0.98/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.42
-30% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grulla Morioka
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
28.05.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
14.03.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Grulla Morioka Grulla Morioka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grulla Morioka
1-0
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Grulla Morioka vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grulla Morioka squeezed past Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Grulla Morioka as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Grulla Morioka had 53% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 47%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grulla Morioka had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grulla Morioka and 0.33 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Grulla Morioka vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Grulla Morioka 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grulla Morioka vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grulla Morioka win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grulla Morioka 42%, draw 26%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grulla Morioka), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grulla Morioka) ✓ Under 2.5
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