Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
26%
+9.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 51%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.92/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-22% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Omiya Ardija
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
23.10.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-1 HT 2-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
23.05.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
04.11.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
19.08.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-4 HT 0-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
01.08.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 1-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
06.05.2015 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 2-0 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu and Omiya Ardija shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 57% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 43%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 1.83 for Omiya Ardija.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Omiya Ardija?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 36%, draw 26%, Omiya Ardija 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ BTTS No
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