JEF United (K) 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
Over 2.5
31%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
17%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.9pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/0.74
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +53%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
14.10.2024 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-0 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) JWEL
25.05.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United (K)
0-1
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) squeezed past JEF United (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, JEF United (K) had 51% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 49%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for JEF United (K) and 1.00 for AS Elfen Saitama (K).

What was the final score of JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

JEF United (K) 0-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split JEF United (K) 42%, draw 34%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JEF United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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