Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.79/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.70
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) JWEL
03.05.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) edged past Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and 0.50 for Parceiro Nagano (K).

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 55%, draw 25%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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