Dundela 1-3 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
35%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
9.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.96 — our 35% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.1pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.8pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundela EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.25/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.04
+15% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundela
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Newington Youth
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Corners 5
16.11.2024 Dundela Dundela 3-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
28.09.2024 Newington Youth Newington Youth 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
04.11.2023 Dundela Dundela 4-2 HT 2-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
05.09.2023 Dundela Dundela 3-0 HT 0-0 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRLCAS
11.02.2023 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 HT 1-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
25.11.2022 Dundela Dundela 3-4 HT 1-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Dundela vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth beat Dundela 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Dundela at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundela had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Dundela and 1.67 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Dundela vs Newington Youth?

Dundela 1-3 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundela vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundela win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dundela 48%, draw 20%, Newington Youth 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dundela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dundela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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