Bidco United 0-1 Tusker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.69
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
24%
+4.0pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.0pp
39%
Away Win
47%
-8.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bidco United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tusker EU Bookmakers 50%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.90/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.70
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / -52%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bidco United
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Tusker
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.12.2024 Tusker Tusker 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
05.01.2022 Tusker Tusker 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bidco United
0-1
AWAY Tusker
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bidco United vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tusker nicked a narrow win over Bidco United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (28% / 33% / 39%) promised a tight game; Tusker found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bidco United had 54% of the ball to Tusker's 46%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tusker led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bidco United and 2.00 for Tusker.

What was the final score of Bidco United vs Tusker?

Bidco United 0-1 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bidco United vs Tusker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bidco United 28%, draw 33%, Tusker 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tusker), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tusker) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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