Bourj 1-0 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
66%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+3.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
66%
Away Win
67%
-1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.6pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bourj EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 71%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.47/3.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.00
-7% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
276 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bourj vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bourj squeezed past Al Nejmeh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Nejmeh at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Bourj vs Al Nejmeh?

Bourj 1-0 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bourj vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Bourj 15%, draw 19%, Al Nejmeh 66%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Nejmeh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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