Safa 5-0 Shabab Baalbeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.11
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
85%
-11.6pp
15%
Draw
9%
+5.7pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.00/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/3.46
+7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -36%
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
513 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Safa vs Shabab Baalbeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa swept aside Shabab Baalbeck 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Safa vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Safa 5-0 Shabab Baalbeck in the Lebanon - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Shabab Baalbeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Safa 73%, draw 15%, Shabab Baalbeck 12%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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29 Mar 2025
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