Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mosta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 4-2 HT 1-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
1-2
AWAY Mosta
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mosta nicked a narrow win over Zabbar St. Patrick 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mosta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 55% of the ball to Mosta's 45%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

Zabbar St. Patrick 1-2 Mosta in the MALTP on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 37%, draw 30%, Mosta 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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