Notodden 2-1 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.22
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
14%
8.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.64/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/2.07
-8% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
70% Ball Possession 30%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
26.10.2024 Notodden Notodden 4-0 HT 3-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
04.05.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-1 HT 0-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
15.07.2023 Notodden Notodden 5-1 HT 2-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
24.06.2023 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 3-4 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR3
20.08.2022 Notodden Notodden 0-0 HT 0-0 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
26.06.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 0-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notodden edged past Vard Haugesund 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Notodden as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Notodden and 1.33 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Vard Haugesund?

Notodden 2-1 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notodden win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Notodden 43%, draw 27%, Vard Haugesund 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notodden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Notodden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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