Sporting Cristal 5-0 Binacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
80%
-15.6pp
21%
Draw
13%
+7.5pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Binacional EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
2.31/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.89
+26% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -19%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 72%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
24.7 Crosses 9.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Binacional
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
323 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 5-0 HT 2-0 Binacional Binacional PER
18.05.2023 Binacional Binacional 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
18.09.2022 Binacional Binacional 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
30.04.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Binacional Binacional PER
08.10.2021 Binacional Binacional 3-4 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
15.11.2020 Binacional Binacional 1-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
5-0
AWAY Binacional
4.69 xG 0.42
57% Ball Possession 43%
28 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
341 Passes 241
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
51 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Binacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal ran out comfortable winners over Binacional 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 57% of the ball to Binacional's 43%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 4.69 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.83 for Binacional.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Binacional?

Sporting Cristal 5-0 Binacional in the Peru - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Binacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 65%, draw 21%, Binacional 15%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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