ADT 3-0 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-11.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.58/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.36
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.8 Crosses 10.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
258 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
01.03.2024 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
22.10.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
03.06.2023 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
30.10.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
03.07.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
3-0
AWAY Alianza Lima
1.26 xG 0.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
382 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADT vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT ran out comfortable winners over Alianza Lima 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, ADT had 59% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 41%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.26 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ADT had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ADT and 0.67 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of ADT vs Alianza Lima?

ADT 3-0 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ADT 49%, draw 27%, Alianza Lima 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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