Alianza Lima 0-0 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.3pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 15%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.88/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.51
+9% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
20.8 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Lima
1W-2D-2L
AWAY ADT
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 ADT ADT 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
22.10.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 ADT ADT PER
03.06.2023 ADT ADT 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
30.10.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 2-0 ADT ADT PER
03.07.2022 ADT ADT 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Lima
0-0
AWAY ADT
1.24 xG 0.12
69% Ball Possession 31%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
480 Passes 182
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 4
19 Crosses 2
POST-MATCH Alianza Lima vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima and ADT fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Alianza Lima at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Lima had 69% of the ball to ADT's 31%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 1.24 to 0.12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ADT led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.00 for ADT.

What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs ADT?

Alianza Lima 0-0 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 56%, draw 26%, ADT 18%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alianza Lima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Lima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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