Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.26/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.31
-29% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.8 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cienciano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
235 Passes 324
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-2 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
26.08.2023 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
09.04.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 0-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
03.09.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 2-0 HT 1-0 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo PER
16.04.2022 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
25.09.2021 Carlos Manucci Trujillo Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-3 HT 0-1 Cienciano Cienciano PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlos Manucci Trujillo
1-2
AWAY Cienciano
0.88 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 3
298 Passes 153
76% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 5
41 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Carlos Manucci Trujillo 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cienciano found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carlos Manucci Trujillo had 62% of the ball to Cienciano's 38%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 0.88 to 0.31 — on chances, Carlos Manucci Trujillo could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cienciano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carlos Manucci Trujillo and 1.67 for Cienciano.

What was the final score of Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cienciano?

Carlos Manucci Trujillo 1-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carlos Manucci Trujillo vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlos Manucci Trujillo win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Carlos Manucci Trujillo 35%, draw 31%, Cienciano 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Carlos Manucci Trujillo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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