Atletico Grau 1-1 Sporting Cristal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.18/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.48
+17% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.6 Crosses 15.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sporting Cristal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 1.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
286 Passes 337
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
17.08.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 2-3 HT 2-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
19.03.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
20.10.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
19.06.2022 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
04.11.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Sporting Cristal
0.86 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 252
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Sporting Cristal couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 47% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 53%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.86 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 2.17 for Sporting Cristal.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Sporting Cristal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 42%, draw 29%, Sporting Cristal 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atletico Grau), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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