Rapid Bucarest 1-2 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.82
No
61%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.98
6+ Goals
7%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 34% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.7pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.93/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.87
+15% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
22.0 Crosses 20.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Bucarest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.74 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 475
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.01.2025 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
31.08.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-1 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.04.2024 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
30.03.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
04.03.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.10.2023 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 2-0 HT 1-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Bucarest
1-2
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.10 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
317 Passes 374
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Bucarest vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova edged past Rapid Bucarest 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Universitatea Craiova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rapid Bucarest had 47% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 53%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.10 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rapid Bucarest and 1.00 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of Rapid Bucarest vs Universitatea Craiova?

Rapid Bucarest 1-2 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Bucarest vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rapid Bucarest 36%, draw 30%, Universitatea Craiova 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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