Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.78
Over 2.5
60%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.75
No
41%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2.95
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
13%
15.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 24% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.7pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.47/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.38
+6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
23.1 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Trencin
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.36 xG 1.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
228 Passes 412
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 6-1 HT 3-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
17.08.2024 Trencin Trencin 2-2 HT 1-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
11.05.2024 Trencin Trencin 2-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
30.03.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 4-2 HT 2-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
16.02.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
30.09.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-0 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-3
AWAY Trencin
1.61 xG 1.48
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 11
201 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin nicked a narrow win over Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Trencin made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 35% of the ball to Trencin's 65%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.61 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 1.50 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 38%, draw 28%, Trencin 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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