A. Bilbao (K) 1-2 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.5pp
33%
Away Win
47%
-13.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
0.77/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.15
+5% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
12.0 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.56 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
316 Passes 424
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2025 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
04.05.2025 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
05.10.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
14.04.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-2
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
1.41 xG 0.63
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
449 Passes 214
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 5
32 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) squeezed past A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 65% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 35%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.41 to 0.63 — the balance of chances actually favoured A. Bilbao (K).

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for A. Bilbao (K) and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-2 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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29 Mar 2026
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