Deportivo Madryn 1-1 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
Over
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.44
No
64%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
40%
4-5
13%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
37%
-0.5pp
64%
BTTS No
63%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman The Market 32%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.18/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.70
+14% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +46%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
188 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
1W-1D-1L
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
10.08.2025 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 3-1 HT 3-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
06.04.2025 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
26.02.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-2 HT 0-1 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn and San Martin Tucuman shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 1.00 for San Martin Tucuman.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?

Deportivo Madryn 1-1 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 39%, draw 31%, San Martin Tucuman 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Madryn), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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