Chacarita Juniors 0-3 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
41%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.8pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.0pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros The Market 30%
-7% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.20/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.07
+9% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
03.08.2025 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-3 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
29.03.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
27.07.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
09.03.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
08.10.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros swept aside Chacarita Juniors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Chacarita Juniors at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 1.17 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Chacarita Juniors 0-3 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 47%, draw 29%, Estudiantes Caseros 24%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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