Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
37%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.8pp
37%
Away Win
28%
+9.1pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.3pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.8pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -17%
1.48/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.00
+30% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
09.03.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
08.10.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
31.07.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
06.11.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
12.07.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chacarita Juniors and Estudiantes Caseros shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 0.83 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Chacarita Juniors 1-1 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 36%, draw 27%, Estudiantes Caseros 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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