Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Madryn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.3pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.1pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.05/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.70
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Madryn
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
09.03.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 1-0 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Madryn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago and Deportivo Madryn shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 36% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (69%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for Deportivo Madryn.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Madryn?

Nueva Chicago 1-1 Deportivo Madryn in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Deportivo Madryn?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 35%, draw 36%, Deportivo Madryn 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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