Tristan Suarez 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.33
Over 2.5
30%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.6
No
64%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
22%
-2.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
72%
-1.8pp
30%
Over 2.5
28%
+1.8pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.2pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.05
+9% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Club Atletico Guemes
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-2 HT 1-1 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
23.08.2022 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
01.08.2021 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
20.03.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-2 HT 0-2 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez and Club Atletico Guemes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tristan Suarez at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (70%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.00 for Club Atletico Guemes.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Tristan Suarez 1-1 Club Atletico Guemes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Club Atletico Guemes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 48%, draw 33%, Club Atletico Guemes 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tristan Suarez), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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