Chacarita Juniors 0-3 Estudiantes Caseros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
37%
2.7
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
77%
Over
23%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
45%
4-5
10%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 77%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros The Market 28%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.31/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.08
+18% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Estudiantes Caseros
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
29.03.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-2 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
27.07.2024 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
09.03.2024 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 0-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
08.10.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
28.05.2023 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 2-1 HT 1-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
31.07.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 0-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros cruised past Chacarita Juniors 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 37% / 27%) promised a tight game; Estudiantes Caseros found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (77%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes Caseros led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 0.83 for Estudiantes Caseros.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Chacarita Juniors 0-3 Estudiantes Caseros in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Estudiantes Caseros?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 35%, draw 37%, Estudiantes Caseros 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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