Patronato vs Alvarado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Patronato v Alvarado — Team-Based Signals
Patronato vs Alvarado Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Patronato
ARJPBN
6-0
HT 4-0
Alvarado
ARJPBN
Patronato edged past Alvarado 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Patronato as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvarado led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Patronato and 2.00 for Alvarado.
What was the final score of Patronato vs Alvarado?
Patronato 1-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Patronato vs Alvarado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Patronato 45%, draw 34%, Alvarado 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.