Nueva Chicago 1-3 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
Over 2.5
29%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.3pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.1pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +23%
1.16/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.21
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
29.05.2025 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
19.08.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
31.03.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
30.09.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-0 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown saw off Nueva Chicago 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nueva Chicago at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown?

Nueva Chicago 1-3 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 41%, draw 34%, Almirante Brown 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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