Nueva Chicago 1-0 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.39/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.39
+8% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
30.09.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-0 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
24.08.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-3 HT 0-3 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago nicked a narrow win over Almirante Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Nueva Chicago and 1.50 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown?

Nueva Chicago 1-0 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 49%, draw 31%, Almirante Brown 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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