Patronato 1-2 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
46%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-3.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.01/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.07
-22% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Patronato 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Patronato at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?

Patronato 1-2 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Patronato 53%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maipu 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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