Almirante Brown 0-1 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Aug 2024

📅19/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.68/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.80
-37% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almirante Brown
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
31.03.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 1-0 HT 0-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
30.09.2023 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
20.05.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-0 HT 2-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
23.07.2022 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-2 HT 0-2 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
24.08.2021 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-3 HT 0-3 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almirante Brown vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago edged past Almirante Brown 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 36%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Almirante Brown and 1.20 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Almirante Brown vs Nueva Chicago?

Almirante Brown 0-1 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almirante Brown vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Almirante Brown 31%, draw 33%, Nueva Chicago 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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