Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 29 Mar 2026

Wellington Phoenix (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
📅29/03/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2025/2026

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.29
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
73%
-0.4pp
15%
Draw
16%
-1.7pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wellington Phoenix (K) v W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.91/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.74
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.7 Crosses 12.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.8

Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
4W-0D-0L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
2.16 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
322 Passes 238
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 14
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
30.12.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 HT 0-1 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2025 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
09.01.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
30.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW

Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
0-1
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.63 xG 0.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
324 Passes 248
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) squeezed past Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Wellington Phoenix (K) carried 73% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 54% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 46%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.63 to 0.49 — on chances, Wellington Phoenix (K) could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 0.25 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 73%, draw 15%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 13%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
29 Mar 2026
08:00 Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Canberra United (K) Analysis →