ADO Den Haag (K) 3-2 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag (K) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 28%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.46/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/0.66
-73% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +112%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.9 Crosses 19.3
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
326 Passes 254
75% Pass Accuracy 71%
11 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
09.03.2025 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) HOLK1
08.12.2024 ADO Den Haag (K) ADO Den Haag (K) 4-0 HT 3-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag (K)
3-2
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
203 Passes 240
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag (K) nicked a narrow win over Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADO Den Haag (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ADO Den Haag (K) had 47% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 53%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for ADO Den Haag (K) and 0.33 for Excelsior Barendrecht (K).

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

ADO Den Haag (K) 3-2 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag (K) 47%, draw 27%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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