Ajax (K) 1-0 PEC Zwolle (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
72%
+1.3pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.1pp
10%
Away Win
10%
-0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.51/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/2.51
+43% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 70%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
18.7 Crosses 12.3
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
4W-0D-1L
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
2.51 xG 0.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
364 Passes 240
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2025 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 7-1 HT 3-0 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
26.01.2025 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 0-4 HT 0-2 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
29.09.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 5-1 HT 2-1 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
23.03.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 3-2 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) HOLK1
10.11.2023 PEC Zwolle (K) PEC Zwolle (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) HOLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
1-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle (K)
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
249 Passes 236
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) squeezed past PEC Zwolle (K) 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 49% of the ball to PEC Zwolle (K)'s 51%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ajax (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Ajax (K) and 2.20 for PEC Zwolle (K).

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Ajax (K) 1-0 PEC Zwolle (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 73%, draw 16%, PEC Zwolle (K) 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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