Al Muaidar 3-3 Al Arabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
55%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.96
Over 2.5
68%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.41
No
37%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.33
2-3 Goals
37%
2.09
4-5 Goals
31%
2.37
6+ Goals
13%
4.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.5pp
55%
Away Win
55%
+0.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
30%
+1.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
63%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.1pp
37%
BTTS No
33%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Muaidar EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 60%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.65/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/2.40
+150% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -49%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
338 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 24.0
0.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Muaidar
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Arabi
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
1.69 xG 2.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
167 Passes 529
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2025 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 3-0 HT 2-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KATYK
28.04.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-3 HT 1-1 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KAT
08.12.2023 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
09.09.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KATYK
21.12.2013 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-2 HT 1-2 Al Muaidar Al Muaidar KATYK
POST-MATCH Al Muaidar vs Al Arabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Muaidar and Al Arabi couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Al Arabi carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Arabi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Muaidar and 2.40 for Al Arabi.

What was the final score of Al Muaidar vs Al Arabi?

Al Muaidar 3-3 Al Arabi in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Muaidar vs Al Arabi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Muaidar 26%, draw 19%, Al Arabi 55%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Arabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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