AS Ariana 1-0 US Ksour Sef — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 29 Mar 2026

📅29/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.13
No
42%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
11%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
43%
+15.0pp
42%
BTTS No
57%
-15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY US Ksour Sef EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.54
+7% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY US Ksour Sef
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.11.2025 US Ksour Sef 2-0 HT 2-0 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
1-0
AWAY US Ksour Sef
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs US Ksour Sef
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Ariana squeezed past US Ksour Sef 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AS Ariana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, AS Ariana had 52% of the ball to US Ksour Sef's 48%, shots finished 21-10.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs US Ksour Sef?

AS Ariana 1-0 US Ksour Sef in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 29/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs US Ksour Sef?

Before kick-off our model rated a AS Ariana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 41%, draw 33%, US Ksour Sef 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Ariana), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Ariana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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