Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hapoel Beer Sheva v Bnei Sakhnin — Team-Based Signals
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Bnei Sakhnin
İSR
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin — Actual Match Statistics
Hapoel Beer Sheva edged past Bnei Sakhnin 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hapoel Beer Sheva as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Hapoel Beer Sheva had 61% of the ball to Bnei Sakhnin's 39%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.13 to 0.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hapoel Beer Sheva's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva and 1.00 for Bnei Sakhnin.
What was the final score of Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Bnei Sakhnin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Beer Sheva win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Beer Sheva 49%, draw 26%, Bnei Sakhnin 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Beer Sheva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.