Hapoel Haifa 0-2 Maccabi Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.54
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
19%
2.93
6+ Goals
7%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.54 — our 30% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
3%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
19%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 62%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/1.12
-11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.2 Crosses 18.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hapoel Haifa
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.44 xG 2.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 3
279 Passes 344
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.02.2024 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-1 HT 1-0 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa İSR
17.12.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 0-3 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Haifa
0-2
AWAY Maccabi Haifa
0.56 xG 1.71
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
124 Passes 403
67% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Haifa beat Hapoel Haifa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maccabi Haifa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hapoel Haifa had 29% of the ball to Maccabi Haifa's 71%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.56 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maccabi Haifa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hapoel Haifa and 2.00 for Maccabi Haifa.

What was the final score of Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa?

Hapoel Haifa 0-2 Maccabi Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Haifa 27%, draw 23%, Maccabi Haifa 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maccabi Haifa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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