PFC Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo EU Bookmakers 20%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
0.82/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.27/1.31
-54% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.08.2023 Etar Veliko Tarnovo Etar Veliko Tarnovo 2-2 HT 1-1 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
3-0
AWAY Etar Veliko Tarnovo
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PFC Beroe ran out comfortable winners over Etar Veliko Tarnovo 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had PFC Beroe as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 59% of the ball to Etar Veliko Tarnovo's 41%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

PFC Beroe 3-0 Etar Veliko Tarnovo in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo?

Before kick-off our model rated a PFC Beroe win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 55%, draw 25%, Etar Veliko Tarnovo 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PFC Beroe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PFC Beroe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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