CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.27/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.53
+13% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +104%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
14.12.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
27.11.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-3 HT 0-2 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
05.04.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1-1
AWAY Arda Kardzhali
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia and Arda Kardzhali couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CSKA 1948 Sofia had 59% of the ball to Arda Kardzhali's 41%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 0.00 for Arda Kardzhali.

What was the final score of CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 Arda Kardzhali in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 39%, draw 24%, Arda Kardzhali 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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