Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Apr 2024

Emmen
3-0 HT 1-0
Helmond Sport
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2023/2024

Emmen vs Helmond Sport Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.16
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 26% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.83
X/2
7%
6.96
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
15%
4.54
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.4pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emmen v Helmond Sport — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -25%
1.42/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.27
+1% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
23.0 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Emmen vs Helmond Sport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
430 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
24.11.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-2 HT 0-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
01.03.2022 Emmen Emmen 1-2 HT 0-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.09.2021 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
16.03.2018 Emmen Emmen 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
03.11.2017 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-1 HT 1-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
17.02.2017 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-3 HT 0-3 Emmen Emmen HOL2

Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
3-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
2.11 xG 0.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 5
300 Passes 413
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emmen swept aside Helmond Sport 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Emmen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Emmen had 43% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 57%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.11 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Emmen and 1.33 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Emmen vs Helmond Sport?

Emmen 3-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emmen 46%, draw 25%, Helmond Sport 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Emmen) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Emmen)
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