Utrecht II 0-2 ADO Den Haag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.52
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
21.15
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
10%
9.05
X/2
13%
4.28
X/X
12%
5.74
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.23
2/X
8%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.15 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.14/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.07
-27% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
13.8 Crosses 23.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
0W-3D-2L
AWAY ADO Den Haag
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
0.58 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
299 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6-0 HT 4-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.01.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.09.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-0 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
24.04.2022 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 1-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
06.12.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-4 HT 0-2 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-2
AWAY ADO Den Haag
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag saw off Utrecht II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht II had 49% of the ball to ADO Den Haag's 51%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, ADO Den Haag led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Utrecht II and 2.60 for ADO Den Haag.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag?

Utrecht II 0-2 ADO Den Haag in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs ADO Den Haag?

Before kick-off our model rated an ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 27%, draw 27%, ADO Den Haag 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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