Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 29 Apr 2024

Santos Laguna
0-3 HT 0-2
Atletico San Luis
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.2pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos Laguna v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.62/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.60
+6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -15%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 71%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.7 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico San Luis
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.59 xG 1.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
310 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 0-2 HT 0-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
19.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-1 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
29.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-1 HT 1-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
02.05.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-3 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
21.11.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
08.11.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK

Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
0-3
AWAY Atletico San Luis
1.64 xG 1.61
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
510 Passes 230
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis swept aside Santos Laguna 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Santos Laguna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 65% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 35%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.64 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santos Laguna and 0.50 for Atletico San Luis.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis?

Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Atletico San Luis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santos Laguna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 44%, draw 27%, Atletico San Luis 29%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Santos Laguna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos Laguna) ✓ BTTS No
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