Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 23%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.45/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.96
+5% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
21.3 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1-1
AWAY Cultural San
1.63 xG 0.41
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
258 Passes 154
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso and Cultural San shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Garcilaso at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 60% of the ball to Cultural San's 40%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.63 to 0.41.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cultural San?

Deportivo Garcilaso 1-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 52%, draw 22%, Cultural San 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
29 Apr 2024
01:30 Melgar vs Alianza Lima Analysis →
04:00 Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos Analysis →