LKS Lodz II 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-11.9pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LKS Lodz II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.53/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.40
+16% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LKS Lodz II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
16.10.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 HT 1-1 LKS Lodz II LKS Lodz II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LKS Lodz II
1-1
AWAY Olimpia Grudziadz
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
7 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Grudziadz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LKS Lodz II and Olimpia Grudziadz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpia Grudziadz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, LKS Lodz II had 52% of the ball to Olimpia Grudziadz's 48%, shots finished 16-15.

What was the final score of LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

LKS Lodz II 1-1 Olimpia Grudziadz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LKS Lodz II vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split LKS Lodz II 26%, draw 30%, Olimpia Grudziadz 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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