Stomil Olsztyn 1-0 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
20.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stomil Olsztyn EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.40/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.11.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-0 HT 0-0 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
07.05.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 0-3 HT 0-2 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn POL2
01.10.2022 Stomil Olsztyn Stomil Olsztyn 2-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stomil Olsztyn
1-0
AWAY Lech Poznan II
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stomil Olsztyn vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stomil Olsztyn nicked a narrow win over Lech Poznan II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Stomil Olsztyn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Stomil Olsztyn had 45% of the ball to Lech Poznan II's 55%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stomil Olsztyn and 1.00 for Lech Poznan II.

What was the final score of Stomil Olsztyn vs Lech Poznan II?

Stomil Olsztyn 1-0 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stomil Olsztyn vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stomil Olsztyn win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Stomil Olsztyn 35%, draw 31%, Lech Poznan II 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stomil Olsztyn), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stomil Olsztyn) ✓ Under 2.5
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