Mura vs Aluminij Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mura v Aluminij — Team-Based Signals
Mura vs Aluminij Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Aluminij
SLVN
0-1
HT 0-1
Mura
SLVN
3-0
HT 1-0
Aluminij
SLVN
0-1
HT 0-1
Mura
SLVN
3-2
HT 1-1
Aluminij
SLVN
Mura 3-1 Aluminij — Actual Match Statistics
Mura got the better of Aluminij 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mura as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mura had 50% of the ball to Aluminij's 50%, shots finished 13-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mura had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mura and 0.67 for Aluminij.
What was the final score of Mura vs Aluminij?
Mura 3-1 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mura vs Aluminij?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mura win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mura 46%, draw 27%, Aluminij 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mura) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.