Al Faisaly 0-2 Al-Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Ain EU Bookmakers 22%
-17% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.57/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.17
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Al-Ain
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.96 xG 0.77
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
256 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.12.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
10.01.2023 Al-Ain Al-Ain 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
05.03.2021 Al-Ain Al-Ain 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD
05.12.2020 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-1 HT 1-0 Al-Ain Al-Ain SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
0-2
AWAY Al-Ain
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al-Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Ain saw off Al Faisaly 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Faisaly at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 58% of the ball to Al-Ain's 42%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.25 for Al-Ain.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al-Ain?

Al Faisaly 0-2 Al-Ain in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al-Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 47%, draw 26%, Al-Ain 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✗ Over 2.5
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