Arabi 3-2 Ohod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 29 Apr 2024

Arabi
3-2 HT 3-1
Ohod
📅29/04/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arabi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Ohod EU Bookmakers 20%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
2.04/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.25
+19% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arabi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ohod
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
28.02.2023 Arabi 0-2 HT 0-2 Ohod Ohod SUUD1
04.10.2022 Ohod Ohod 1-1 HT 1-1 Arabi SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arabi
3-2
AWAY Ohod
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arabi vs Ohod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arabi squeezed past Ohod 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Arabi had 53% of the ball to Ohod's 47%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ohod led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arabi and 1.50 for Ohod.

What was the final score of Arabi vs Ohod?

Arabi 3-2 Ohod in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 29/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arabi vs Ohod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Arabi 55%, draw 22%, Ohod 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arabi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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